Know why market exist
It exists for a purpose.
2/17/20245 min read
Hey future traders! So, you might be wondering, why do future markets even exist, right? Well, let me break it down for you in simple terms.
Okay, imagine you're a farmer growing corn. Now, you don't know exactly how much your corn will sell for when it's ready to harvest. It could be a good year, or maybe not so great. That uncertainty can be kind of stressful, right?
Now, here's where future markets come in. They're like a cool system that helps people like you, the farmer, and even businesses, deal with this uncertainty. In simple words, future markets allow you to lock in a price for your corn before it's even grown. So, if the market price later goes down, no worries, because you already made a deal at a better price.
It's not just for farmers, though. All sorts of people, like companies and investors, use future markets to manage their risks. It's like a way to plan for the future and make sure things don't get too crazy.
So, in a nutshell, future markets exist to help everyone involved – from farmers to big companies – handle the unpredictability of prices and make their lives a bit less stressful. Cool, right?
Jim Daltons said that most folks don't really care about why the market exists. They prefer having simple rules to follow instead of thinking hard about the big picture. And guess what? Most people, even those in the market, don't end up making money.
Now, the futures market, like any market, is just a place for people to trade stuff. It works by auctioning things from high prices to low and vice versa, trying to find the best spot for trades to happen. So, in a nutshell, the market is all about making trade easy, and that's its main gig.
Market isn’t a quick to rich scheme:
Let's talk about something super important – the futures market is definitely not a "get rich quick" or an easy-peasy scheme. It's like planting seeds and waiting for your garden to grow.
See, some folks might think trading is a shortcut to loads of cash in no time, but that's not how it works. It's more like a serious game where you gotta learn the rules and practice. You wouldn't become a soccer pro overnight, right?
So, the futures market is not a magic button for instant wealth. It's more of a learning journey. You need to understand how things work, be patient, and be ready to put in some effort. Like, imagine you're learning to ride a bike – it takes practice, a few falls, but eventually, you get the hang of it.
Don't fall for the "easy money" traps. Trading is a skill you build, not a lucky gamble. Keep it real, stay focused, and remember, slow and steady wins the race in the world of futures trading!
Market is a two-way compound auction process:
Imagine you're at a big swap meet where people trade toys. You've got sellers with their cool action figures, and buyers looking for awesome toys. The two-way compound auction process is like the way they figure out the best prices.
Here's the scoop: Sellers and buyers go back and forth, like a friendly game of catch. Sellers shout out their prices, buyers offer theirs, and they keep going until they agree on a fair deal – kind of like finding the perfect trade in your toy collection.
So, in the share market world, it's the same deal. People buying and selling stocks are doing this back-and-forth dance to find the best price. It's like a fair game where everyone gets a say, and the two-way compound auction process helps make sure everyone's happy with the trades.
So, next time you're trading shares, remember it's like finding the perfect trade at a big toy swap meet – a little negotiation, a bit of back-and-forth, and you end up with a fair and square deal.
Market has crucial role of price discovery:
Picture this: the stock market is like a giant puzzle where prices are the missing pieces. Price discovery is the process of figuring out where those pieces fit. It's like searching for the right spot for each piece until the whole picture makes sense.
In the market, buyers and sellers are like puzzle solvers, tossing in their ideas about what a stock is worth. As they share their opinions, the market kinda votes on the best price, and that's the 'discovery' part. It's finding the fair value through this teamwork of trading.
So, when you hear about price discovery, just think of it as everyone in the market working together to solve the puzzle of figuring out the right prices. It's like a group effort to make the market picture complete.
Market is a well-known money-sucking machine:
Picture this: the market is this machine at the arcade where you can win or lose money. Sometimes it feels like it's sucking up your cash, right? But here's the deal – it's not some evil scheme; it's more like a challenging game.
If you just toss your money in without a plan, yeah, it might feel like the machine is swallowing it up. But, if you understand the game, strategize, and hit the right buttons, you can actually get more money out of it.
So, the market might seem tricky, but with the right moves and a bit of know-how, you can make it work for you. It's not about luck; it's about mastering the game and making smart plays.
Price blindness:
Picture this: you're in a room, and someone turns off the lights. Now, you can't see anything, right? Price blindness is a bit like that in the trading world. It happens when traders get so caught up in the market chaos that they can't see the prices clearly.
Imagine you're in a forest, and there are trees everywhere. If you focus too much on one tree, you might miss the whole forest. Price blindness is like getting too fixated on a single price point and losing sight of the bigger market picture.
So, when someone mentions price blindness, think of it as a reminder to step back, look at the entire market, and not get stuck on just one detail. It's about keeping your vision clear in the midst of all the trading trees.
Varying time horizons of market participants:
Imagine the stock market as a big playground with different play styles. Some traders are like sprinters, looking for quick wins, while others are marathon runners, in it for the long haul. The varying time horizons? That's just the different game plans people bring to the playground.
So, some traders focus on what's happening right now – like, blink and you might miss it! Others are more patient, thinking about the future and the bigger picture. It's like having speedsters and strategists in the same game.
When you hear about varying time horizons, just think of it as traders having different play styles. Some are all about the quick moves, others are in for the slow burn. It's what makes the market this exciting mix of short-term sprinters and long-term thinkers.
Are markets efficient or simply effective?
You might hear folks talking about markets being efficient, like everything runs perfectly smooth. Well, that's not entirely true. Markets aren't these flawless machines; they're more like a bunch of people trying to figure things out.
So, instead of thinking "efficient," think "effective." It's like saying markets are good at getting stuff done. They might not be super organized, but they do the job. Traders, like you and me, can still find opportunities and make things happen, even if the market isn't running like clockwork.
In a nutshell, markets are effective – they get the job done, even if they're not perfect. So, don't stress if it seems a bit messy sometimes. Embrace the effectiveness, and let's navigate this trading journey together!